In the ultra competitive NFC North, winning divisional games is everything. Green Bay (5-2) plays Detroit (5-1) next Sunday, so the Pack could be looking past 2-5 Jacksonville. The line on this game was Green Bay -4.5 (which is already low), that has since moved to -3.5.

For his part, coach Matt LaFleur has said all the right things about Jacksonville: "I think when you look at this team, they’ve lost a game by three points, by four points and by five points. They were in command vs. Houston and vs. Miami, they could be 5-2, sitting the same as us right now." LaFleur understands the importance of not looking forward, but you can't help but look ahead to what should be a great game in the black and blue division with Detroit.

Jordan Love is averaging 3 TD passes per game, he is also averaging 1.6 INTs per game. Jacksonville has one of the worst pass defenses in the league (hell, one of the worst defenses in general), ranking 2nd-worst in the entire NFL allowing 274 yards per game. A weak defense like Jacksonville's could open things up in the passing game for the Pack, providing a lot more high percentage throws and a lot less high-risk throws that could lead to INTs.

The low spread is a pretty clear indication this could be a close game, likely decided by a field goal or less. Since the spread is 3.5, I'll go with 3. They clearly want you to lay the points with the Pack.

Pick: Pack, 26-23